Budget 2024-25: Government Aims for $1.5 Billion in International Bond Issuance
Subheading: Enhancing External Resource Inflows
In the upcoming budget for 2024-25, the Pakistani government intends to launch international bonds to bolster foreign exchange reserves. The issuance of these bonds is part of a strategy to secure $1.5 billion in external financing.
Subheading: Bond Market Prospects
Government officials are currently assessing projections for external resource receipts, with plans to issue Panda and Euro/Sukuk bonds. Panda bonds would target Chinese investors, while Eurobonds would be denominated in euros. The government is exploring these options amidst expectations of an easing monetary stance in the international market, particularly in the United States.
Subheading: Credit Ratings and International Investor Confidence
Pakistan’s credit ratings have declined in recent years, impacting its ability to access international bond markets. However, the government anticipates that a successful agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) could improve its creditworthiness. This would potentially enhance investor confidence and pave the way for international bond issuance.
Subheading: Exchange Rate Management
The government’s ability to secure foreign inflows through bond issuance is crucial for exchange rate management. The overvaluation of the Pakistani rupee has led to concerns about potential exchange rate adjustments if external financing is not obtained timely.
Subheading: Impact of IMF Program
The IMF program requires Pakistan to secure external financing, making the issuance of international bonds a critical component. The program’s implementation is expected to instill confidence in international investors and facilitate access to foreign capital.
Subheading: Budget Projections
The government has based its budget projections for 2024-25 on an average exchange rate of Rs295 against the US dollar. The lack of foreign inflows through international bonds in the current fiscal year highlights the importance of securing these inflows for the upcoming budget.
Subheading: Conclusion
The Pakistani government’s plan to issue $1.5 billion in international bonds for the 2024-25 budget is a strategic move to address external financing requirements. The success of this initiative will depend on improved credit ratings, favorable market conditions, and the implementation of the IMF program.